Heat to intensify in West this weekend, fueling rising fire danger (2024)

Triple-digit temperatures are about to bake large parts of the West, from Washington state to New Mexico, challenging records and exacerbating the wildfire risk. Nearly 60 large wildfires are already burning across the West, and the combination of hot temperatures and low humidity will allow blazes to run rampant throughout the weekend.

Heat alerts affecting more than 35 million people plaster weather maps, with excessive-heat warnings for interior Southern California, southwest Arizona and southern Nevada. That’s where temperatures could soar above 115 degrees.

Warnings are also in effect for the inland deserts of Oregon and Washington, where highs could reach 100 to 110 degrees. Triple digits are also possible into portions of northern and western Idaho, including the Columbia River Basin — a popular summertime hiking destination. Even a sliver of northwest Montana is under heat alerts.

“Heat will increase the risk of heat-related illnesses, especially those without effective cooling or adequate hydration,” the National Weather Service wrote.

The dry heat will affect anyone outdoors and pose a danger of rapid dehydration. Similarly, vegetation will be sapped of moisture, making more fuel for wildfires to gobble up.

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The hot temperatures and lack of moisture could help ongoing fires expand. A few dry thunderstorms — thunderstorms that spit out lightning strikes but whose rain evaporates before reaching the ground — are expected to spark new fires, too, particularly in southern Idaho and northern Nebraska.

The excessive heat is courtesy of a heat dome, or a sprawling ridge of high pressure, that brings hot, sinking air. This latest round of heat follows a scorching two-week stretch to open July in which hundreds of records were set from Washington state to Arizona. Las Vegas as well as Redding and Palm Springs in California set all-time highs of around 120 degrees.

How hot it will get

The heat will ramp up Saturday, with triple-digit temperatures spreading over the majority of the West. Then it will peak Monday and Tuesday before gradually easing. Numerous calendar-day records will probably be tied or broken.

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Saturday

  • Needles, Calif. — on the Arizona border — is forecast to hit 119 degrees, tying a record set last year. Records date to 1888.
  • Las Vegas is expected to tie a record of 113 degrees. Records date to 1937.
  • Mount Shasta in Northern California is expected to hit 101 degrees, beating a record of 99 set in 2013. Records date to 1948.

Sunday

  • Las Vegas is expected to hit 114 degrees, exceeding the record set last year.
  • Boise, Idaho, is anticipated to hit 106, falling just shy of the 107-degree record set in 2005. Records date to 1875.
  • In Yakima, Wash., the Weather Service is forecasting a high of 107, blowing far past the record of 102 set in 2020. Records date to 1946.
  • Omak, a small town in extreme-northern Washington, is likely to approach 110 degrees. The record stands at 105 degrees, set in 1938. Data dates to 1909.
  • Spokane, Wash., is expected to hit 107. The record of 103 was set in 1905. Records date to 1881.

Monday

  • Palmdale, north of Los Angeles, is expected to hit 110 degrees. That surpasses a record of 109 set last year. Records date to 1931.
  • Mount Shasta in California is likely to hit 97 degrees, tying a record set in 2003.
  • Boise will probably fall just shy of the record of 108, set last year.
  • Yakima is forecast to hit 102, also falling just short of the record of 103.
  • Spokane will flirt with the record of 103.

Temperatures will remain elevated, but fall shy of records, into the midweek period.

Wildfire risk

The West’s fire season has taken off amid the relentless heat, and firefighting resources are strained.

Fifty-nine large wildfires are burning across the West, including 14 in Oregon, 11 in California, 8 in Montana, 7 in New Mexico and 5 each in Utah, Arizona and Washington.

On Thursday, the National Interagency Fire Center raised the national preparedness level to a 5 out of 5, signaling a serious drawdown on firefighting personnel and equipment.

“Significant wildland fire activity is now occurring in most geographic areas with a high potential for additional large wildland fires to emerge,” the center wrote in an update on Thursday.

Only four other years have reached preparedness level 5 this early in the season — 2002, 2007, 2008 and 2021 — according to records going back to 1990.

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An outbreak of dry lightning this past week escalated the fire situation out West, coming on the heels of the historic heat wave that left the landscape parched.

Oregon saw a flurry of wildfire ignitions over the last few days, even as several major blazes burned in the state, including the Falls Fire at more than 110,000 acres.

In California, more than 9,000 lightning strikes ignited 51 fires between Sunday and Tuesday. Several of those have taken hold, including the Trout Fire, which is burning intensely in the Sequoia National Forest in the southern Sierra.

“Lightning really has the potential to make an average or busy season into an exceptionally busy season because it can be so widespread in such a short amount of time,” said Stanton Florea, a spokesperson for the National Interagency Fire Center.

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More dry lighting is in the forecast for the coming days for the Pacific Northwest and California. And several states face above-normal fire risk into autumn.

“We know this isn’t going to end soon, so we could have eight to 10 weeks or longer of a high level of fire activity across the U.S.,” Florea said.

The heat is especially challenging for firefighters, who face long hours of grueling work outdoors.

Heat to intensify in West this weekend, fueling rising fire danger (2024)

FAQs

What is climate change doing to the west that is causing intense wildfires? ›

Increasing severe heat and drought due to climate change can fuel wildfires. Hotter temperatures evaporate more moisture from soil and vegetation, drying out trees, shrubs and grasses and turning leaf litter and fallen branches into kindling.

At what stage is the heat too intense to approach the fire? ›

Fully Developed Stage

At this point it has consumed all available fuel and oxygen. It's characterized by large flames and thick, black smoke. The fully developed stage presents the greatest danger in terms of heat damage and structural collapse.

Which of the following has the greatest impact on fire spread and intensity? ›

A fire on level ground is primarily influenced by fuels and wind. Certain topographic features can influence the wind speed and direction for small areas, independent of general weather conditions for an area. The shape of the country can also influence the direction of fire spread, rate of spread, and the intensity.

Why is Oregon having so many fires? ›

The extreme heat has led to incredibly dry conditions that make it easy for wildfires to start and rapidly spread. Oregon State Fire Marshal Mariana Ruiz-Temple said Oregon has already seen two “megafires” — any fire greater than 100,000 acres — with the Cow Valley Fire near Vale and the Falls Fire just north of Burns.

Are wildfires in the West getting worse? ›

“Absolutely,” said Harvey. “The increase in fire activity over the last several decades has been fairly profound in many regions of the world, and the western U.S. is a pretty stark example of that.

Why is the West Coast experiencing so many wildfires? ›

A 2016 study found climate change enhanced the drying of organic matter and doubled the number of large fires between 1984 and 2015 in the western United States. A 2021 study supported by NOAA concluded that climate change has been the main driver of the increase in fire weather in the western United States.

What are the 4 stages of fire intensity? ›

Compartment fire development can be described as being comprised of four stages: incipient, growth, fully developed and decay (see Figure 1). Flashover is not a stage of development, but simply a rapid transition between the growth and fully developed stages. Figure 1.

Why is fire season getting longer? ›

Climate change is affecting weather conditions in ways that increase wildfire risks. Warming temperatures and increasingly dry air, vegetation, and soils make fires easier to spread, and more difficult to fight or prevent.

Why do firefighters wait to use water? ›

Water conducts heat 24 times faster than air. When water is absorbed and penetrates the turnout gear system from the outside there is an increased chance a firefighter will get burned. These burns can occur a few different ways, most commonly in the form of steam burns or compression burns.

How to intensify fire? ›

Most fires are burnt in air at 21% oxygen. However, if certain chemical compounds are mixed with, or in close proximity to the fuel, the fire can intensify in this oxygen enriched atmosphere. Other elements, such as chlorine and fluorine, can take the place of oxygen in the combustion reaction.

Under what weather condition is fire more likely to spread rapidly? ›

When combined with very low precipitation and snowpack, extreme heat can lead to decreased streamflow, dry soils, and large-scale tree deaths. These conditions create increased potential for extreme wildfires that spread rapidly, burn with more severity, and are costly to suppress.

What is the least hottest fire color? ›

Red is usually seen on the outer edge of the flame, where the temperature is lower, while blue is the fiercest, hottest temperature.

What US state gets the most fires? ›

California almost always tops the list of states with the most wildfires, and it's a good example of how some states face greater risk because of their climate. The state's dry climate coupled with regional winds increase its wildfire risk.

What is the number one cause of house fires in the US? ›

1. Cooking. Unattended cooking is listed as the number one cause of residential fires.

Why are more fires happening? ›

Multiple studies have found that climate change has already led to an increase in wildfire season length, wildfire frequency, and burned area. The wildfire season has lengthened in many areas due to factors including warmer springs, longer summer dry seasons, and drier soils and vegetation.

What causes most wildfires in the western United States? ›

Humans cause nearly 90% of wildfires in the United states1 via discarded cigarettes, unattended campfires, burning debris, or through equipment malfunctions. Although less common, wildfires can also occur though non-human phenomena, such as lightning strikes and volcanic eruptions.

Why are there more catastrophic fires in western parts of the United States? ›

The region's vegetation — pine needles, dry grasses, shrubs — is more flammable than the moist maple or beech leaves found in the East coast's deciduous forests.

Why are wildfires increasing in the Pacific Northwest? ›

Climate change causes forest fuels (the trees and plants that burn and spread wildfire) to be drier and more ready to burn. The number of large fires has doubled between 1984 and 2015 in the western United States. These hotter, drier conditions also set the stage for more human-ignited wildfires.

How is climate change affecting California? ›

Sea level rise, coastal flooding and coastal erosion.

Approximately 85% of California's population live and work in coastal counties. The sea level along California's coasts has risen nearly 8 inches in the past century and is projected to rise by as much as 20 to 55 inches by the end of the century.

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